Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by the benchmark's current level near $102—requiring a 44% surge in under 30 days amid time-sensitive resolution risks. Recent Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran signals, propelled a record monthly rally to three-year highs above $100, but a surprise 10 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by API this week has capped gains, reinforcing oversupply dynamics. Weak Chinese demand and elevated global stockpiles further anchor sentiment, with upcoming EIA data and OPEC+ decisions as pivotal catalysts for any shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/04/30
新規
新規
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by the benchmark's current level near $102—requiring a 44% surge in under 30 days amid time-sensitive resolution risks. Recent Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran signals, propelled a record monthly rally to three-year highs above $100, but a surprise 10 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by API this week has capped gains, reinforcing oversupply dynamics. Weak Chinese demand and elevated global stockpiles further anchor sentiment, with upcoming EIA data and OPEC+ decisions as pivotal catalysts for any shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$339終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by the benchmark's current level near $102—requiring a 44% surge in under 30 days amid time-sensitive resolution risks. Recent Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran signals, propelled a record monthly rally to three-year highs above $100, but a surprise 10 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by API this week has capped gains, reinforcing oversupply dynamics. Weak Chinese demand and elevated global stockpiles further anchor sentiment, with upcoming EIA data and OPEC+ decisions as pivotal catalysts for any shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$339終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by the benchmark's current level near $102—requiring a 44% surge in under 30 days amid time-sensitive resolution risks. Recent Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Iran signals, propelled a record monthly rally to three-year highs above $100, but a surprise 10 million-barrel U.S. inventory build reported by API this week has capped gains, reinforcing oversupply dynamics. Weak Chinese demand and elevated global stockpiles further anchor sentiment, with upcoming EIA data and OPEC+ decisions as pivotal catalysts for any shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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