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icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$153,077 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$153,077 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$27,526 Vol.

7%

Frontier Airlines

$36,105 Vol.

11%

Allegiant

$38,433 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$18,168 Vol.

2%

Alaska Airlines

$32,844 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East disruptions since early 2026, represent the dominant catalyst pressuring airline balance sheets and shaping trader views on near-term bankruptcy risk. Spirit Airlines completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, while airBaltic entered U.S. Chapter 11 proceedings on September 14 amid liquidity shortfalls, engine shortages, and roughly €584 million in funded debt. Ultra-low-cost carriers such as JetBlue and Frontier face elevated vulnerability given CCC+ ratings, multi-billion debt loads, and 2026 maturities, contrasting with legacy carriers' stronger premium revenue and liquidity buffers. Industry net margins have compressed sharply to around 2 percent, per IATA projections, with key earnings releases and fuel price trajectories through year-end likely to influence any additional filings before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$153,077
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East disruptions since early 2026, represent the dominant catalyst pressuring airline balance sheets and shaping trader views on near-term bankruptcy risk. Spirit Airlines completed liquidation in May after its second Chapter 11 filing, while airBaltic entered U.S. Chapter 11 proceedings on September 14 amid liquidity shortfalls, engine shortages, and roughly €584 million in funded debt. Ultra-low-cost carriers such as JetBlue and Frontier face elevated vulnerability given CCC+ ratings, multi-billion debt loads, and 2026 maturities, contrasting with legacy carriers' stronger premium revenue and liquidity buffers. Industry net margins have compressed sharply to around 2 percent, per IATA projections, with key earnings releases and fuel price trajectories through year-end likely to influence any additional filings before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$153,077
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Frontier Airlines」で11%、次いで「JetBlue」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」は$153.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Frontier Airlines」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「JetBlue」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。