Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 20-25% for 2026 and driven by AI-related capital expenditures in technology and semiconductors, underpins current S&P 500 levels near 7,640 as of early September 2026. Sticky inflation, with core PCE around 3.3% amid elevated energy prices, has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, limiting near-term easing expectations. Treasury yields, including the 10-year near 4.8%, reflect this policy stance and compete with equities. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, August CPI and PPI releases, and the December FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path sentiment and influence year-end index resolution amid resilient but concentrated market leadership.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$341,088 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
10%
↑ 8,200ドル
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
27%
↓ 6,200ドル
10%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5,800ドル
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
6%
↓ 4,500ドル
3%
$341,088 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$203 Vol.
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
$9,538 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
$30,614 Vol.
10%
↑ 8,200ドル
$23,827 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$5 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
27%
↓ 6,200ドル
$53,694 Vol.
10%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 Vol.
11%
↓ 5,800ドル
$41,870 Vol.
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
$57,085 Vol.
6%
↓ 4,500ドル
$60,252 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 20-25% for 2026 and driven by AI-related capital expenditures in technology and semiconductors, underpins current S&P 500 levels near 7,640 as of early September 2026. Sticky inflation, with core PCE around 3.3% amid elevated energy prices, has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, limiting near-term easing expectations. Treasury yields, including the 10-year near 4.8%, reflect this policy stance and compete with equities. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, August CPI and PPI releases, and the December FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path sentiment and influence year-end index resolution amid resilient but concentrated market leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$341,088終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 20-25% for 2026 and driven by AI-related capital expenditures in technology and semiconductors, underpins current S&P 500 levels near 7,640 as of early September 2026. Sticky inflation, with core PCE around 3.3% amid elevated energy prices, has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, limiting near-term easing expectations. Treasury yields, including the 10-year near 4.8%, reflect this policy stance and compete with equities. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, August CPI and PPI releases, and the December FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path sentiment and influence year-end index resolution amid resilient but concentrated market leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$341,088終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, projected at 20-25% for 2026 and driven by AI-related capital expenditures in technology and semiconductors, underpins current S&P 500 levels near 7,640 as of early September 2026. Sticky inflation, with core PCE around 3.3% amid elevated energy prices, has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, limiting near-term easing expectations. Treasury yields, including the 10-year near 4.8%, reflect this policy stance and compete with equities. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated economic projections, August CPI and PPI releases, and the December FOMC decision, which could shift rate-path sentiment and influence year-end index resolution amid resilient but concentrated market leadership.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問