Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 12-25% for 2026 and heavily driven by AI-related capital expenditures exceeding $650 billion among major hyperscalers, supports the market-implied tilt toward S&P 500 closes above 7,500 by year-end, consistent with recent analyst target revisions to 8,000-8,100. Recent geopolitical easing after Iran-Israel tensions, alongside a mid-June rebound from the largest 2026 sell-off that briefly pressured levels near 7,380, has kept the three leading outcome bins tightly clustered between 20.5% and 23.0% as traders weigh sustained earnings momentum against risks from higher energy prices and persistent inflation. Narrow tech leadership and upcoming economic data releases continue to shape the contested distribution across the 6,500-8,000 range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8,000ドル超 33%
7,000～7,500ドル 22%
7,500～8,000ドル 21%
6,500〜7,000ドル 17%
$30,070 Vol.
$30,070 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
12%
6,000～6,500ドル
9%
6,500〜7,000ドル
17%
7,000～7,500ドル
22%
7,500～8,000ドル
21%
8,000ドル超
26%
8,000ドル超 33%
7,000～7,500ドル 22%
7,500～8,000ドル 21%
6,500〜7,000ドル 17%
$30,070 Vol.
$30,070 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
$17,357 Vol.
12%
6,000～6,500ドル
$1,802 Vol.
9%
6,500〜7,000ドル
$3,062 Vol.
17%
7,000～7,500ドル
$1,575 Vol.
22%
7,500～8,000ドル
$3,019 Vol.
21%
8,000ドル超
$3,255 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 12-25% for 2026 and heavily driven by AI-related capital expenditures exceeding $650 billion among major hyperscalers, supports the market-implied tilt toward S&P 500 closes above 7,500 by year-end, consistent with recent analyst target revisions to 8,000-8,100. Recent geopolitical easing after Iran-Israel tensions, alongside a mid-June rebound from the largest 2026 sell-off that briefly pressured levels near 7,380, has kept the three leading outcome bins tightly clustered between 20.5% and 23.0% as traders weigh sustained earnings momentum against risks from higher energy prices and persistent inflation. Narrow tech leadership and upcoming economic data releases continue to shape the contested distribution across the 6,500-8,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
音量
$30,070終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 12-25% for 2026 and heavily driven by AI-related capital expenditures exceeding $650 billion among major hyperscalers, supports the market-implied tilt toward S&P 500 closes above 7,500 by year-end, consistent with recent analyst target revisions to 8,000-8,100. Recent geopolitical easing after Iran-Israel tensions, alongside a mid-June rebound from the largest 2026 sell-off that briefly pressured levels near 7,380, has kept the three leading outcome bins tightly clustered between 20.5% and 23.0% as traders weigh sustained earnings momentum against risks from higher energy prices and persistent inflation. Narrow tech leadership and upcoming economic data releases continue to shape the contested distribution across the 6,500-8,000 range.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$30,070終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, projected at 12-25% for 2026 and heavily driven by AI-related capital expenditures exceeding $650 billion among major hyperscalers, supports the market-implied tilt toward S&P 500 closes above 7,500 by year-end, consistent with recent analyst target revisions to 8,000-8,100. Recent geopolitical easing after Iran-Israel tensions, alongside a mid-June rebound from the largest 2026 sell-off that briefly pressured levels near 7,380, has kept the three leading outcome bins tightly clustered between 20.5% and 23.0% as traders weigh sustained earnings momentum against risks from higher energy prices and persistent inflation. Narrow tech leadership and upcoming economic data releases continue to shape the contested distribution across the 6,500-8,000 range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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