The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$372,645 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ 8,600ドル
9%
↑ 8,200ドル
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
67%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ 6,200ドル
13%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ 5,800ドル
7%
↓ 5,200ドル
4%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$372,645 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ 8,600ドル
$31,871 Vol.
9%
↑ 8,200ドル
$23,939 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
67%
↓ $7,200
$415 Vol.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
25%
↓ 6,200ドル
$60,586 Vol.
13%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ 5,800ドル
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ 5,200ドル
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ 4,500ドル
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$372,645終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
音量
$372,645終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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