Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 24-25% for full-year 2026 and anchored by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment. Wall Street targets cluster near 7,650–8,000 by year-end, reflecting upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs amid 13–15% expected EPS gains through 2027. Year-to-date gains near 9% have persisted despite oil price spikes above $100 and tariff-related uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions. Traders monitor upcoming Q3 earnings releases, FOMC decisions on the policy rate path, and inflation data for signals on valuation sustainability, with implied probabilities in prediction markets pricing in continued upside tempered by potential volatility around energy supply and monetary policy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$269,908 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 9,300ドル
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
8%
↑ 8,200ドル
24%
↑ 7,800ドル
61%
↓ 6,200ドル
26%
↓ 5,800ドル
19%
↓ 5,200ドル
8%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$269,908 Vol.
↑ 9,300ドル
$7,637 Vol.
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
$24,361 Vol.
8%
↑ 8,200ドル
$17,006 Vol.
24%
↑ 7,800ドル
$7,762 Vol.
61%
↓ 6,200ドル
$37,584 Vol.
26%
↓ 5,800ドル
$31,827 Vol.
19%
↓ 5,200ドル
$42,193 Vol.
8%
↓ 4,500ドル
$50,844 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 24-25% for full-year 2026 and anchored by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment. Wall Street targets cluster near 7,650–8,000 by year-end, reflecting upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs amid 13–15% expected EPS gains through 2027. Year-to-date gains near 9% have persisted despite oil price spikes above $100 and tariff-related uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions. Traders monitor upcoming Q3 earnings releases, FOMC decisions on the policy rate path, and inflation data for signals on valuation sustainability, with implied probabilities in prediction markets pricing in continued upside tempered by potential volatility around energy supply and monetary policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
音量
$269,908終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 24-25% for full-year 2026 and anchored by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment. Wall Street targets cluster near 7,650–8,000 by year-end, reflecting upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs amid 13–15% expected EPS gains through 2027. Year-to-date gains near 9% have persisted despite oil price spikes above $100 and tariff-related uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions. Traders monitor upcoming Q3 earnings releases, FOMC decisions on the policy rate path, and inflation data for signals on valuation sustainability, with implied probabilities in prediction markets pricing in continued upside tempered by potential volatility around energy supply and monetary policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$269,908終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, projected at 24-25% for full-year 2026 and anchored by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment. Wall Street targets cluster near 7,650–8,000 by year-end, reflecting upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs amid 13–15% expected EPS gains through 2027. Year-to-date gains near 9% have persisted despite oil price spikes above $100 and tariff-related uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions. Traders monitor upcoming Q3 earnings releases, FOMC decisions on the policy rate path, and inflation data for signals on valuation sustainability, with implied probabilities in prediction markets pricing in continued upside tempered by potential volatility around energy supply and monetary policy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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