Recent tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy has softened amid modest pre-sales and a late push of discounted “Nate Rate” tickets that lowered average pricing models. BoxOfficeTheory now projects a $7–14 million domestic opening from roughly 3,300 theaters, while BoxOffice Pro sits at $6–9 million, down from earlier $16–23 million estimates. Thursday previews delivered a respectable $750,000, yet the crowded Memorial Day frame and limited family crossover momentum have kept the market tilted toward the >$7 million bracket at 67 percent implied probability. Final numbers hinge on weekend walk-up business and word-of-mouth among middle-American audiences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 60%
6-7m 34.2%
5-6m <1%
<4m <1%
$140,494 Vol.
$140,494 Vol.
<4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
1%
6-7m
34%
>7m
60%
>7m 60%
6-7m 34.2%
5-6m <1%
<4m <1%
$140,494 Vol.
$140,494 Vol.
<4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
1%
6-7m
34%
>7m
60%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy has softened amid modest pre-sales and a late push of discounted “Nate Rate” tickets that lowered average pricing models. BoxOfficeTheory now projects a $7–14 million domestic opening from roughly 3,300 theaters, while BoxOffice Pro sits at $6–9 million, down from earlier $16–23 million estimates. Thursday previews delivered a respectable $750,000, yet the crowded Memorial Day frame and limited family crossover momentum have kept the market tilted toward the >$7 million bracket at 67 percent implied probability. Final numbers hinge on weekend walk-up business and word-of-mouth among middle-American audiences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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