The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マンダロリアンとグルーグ」第2週末興行収入
「マンダロリアンとグルーグ」第2週末興行収入
2500万未満 100.0%
2500万～2800万 <1%
2800万〜3100万 <1%
>3,100万ドル <1%
$132,993 Vol.
$132,993 Vol.
2026/06/01
2500万未満
はい
2500万～2800万
いいえ
2800万〜3100万
いいえ
>3,100万ドル
いいえ
2500万未満 100.0%
2500万～2800万 <1%
2800万〜3100万 <1%
>3,100万ドル <1%
$132,993 Vol.
$132,993 Vol.
2026/06/01
2500万未満
$53,235 Vol.
はい
2500万～2800万
$59,466 Vol.
いいえ
2800万〜3100万
$9,835 Vol.
いいえ
>3,100万ドル
$10,458 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
音量
$132,993終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$132,993終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
The Mandalorian and Grogu's projected second-weekend domestic gross sits under $25 million after a roughly 70% drop from its $82 million three-day opening, the weakest Disney-era Star Wars debut since Solo. This steep decline aligns with mixed industry tracking, audience demographics shifting toward younger viewers for competing titles like the A24 horror hit Backrooms, and franchise fatigue following a modest Memorial Day launch that totaled around $100 million over four days. With a reported $165 million production budget, the film's theatrical trajectory faces pressure from limited international appeal and no major upcoming catalysts before Toy Story 5. An upset pushing above $25 million would require significant positive word-of-mouth adjustments or revised estimates that exceed current studio tracking.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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