Justin Pearson leads the TN-09 Democratic primary market at 81.5% due to his established profile as a state representative and activist following Steve Cohen’s mid-May withdrawal announcement, which opened the seat after redistricting altered district lines. Cohen’s exit, after two decades in Congress, shifted trader focus to Pearson’s fundraising and endorsements in the Memphis-area district. DeVante Hill trails at 10.6% amid a narrower base, while Cohen remains listed at 5.9% despite his retirement. The August 6 primary features additional candidates including London Lamar and M. LaTroy A-Williams, but Pearson’s momentum has consolidated Democratic primary support in recent weeks.