Tesla (TSLA) shares have declined over 40% from their December peak, trading around $170 amid weakening EV demand and Q1 2024 deliveries that fell 9% year-over-year to 386,810 units, missing consensus estimates. Aggressive price cuts have compressed gross margins to an estimated 16-17%, raising concerns over profitability as competition intensifies from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied trader sentiment reflects caution on near-term revenue growth, with high short interest at 3% of float. Key catalysts include April 23 Q1 earnings, expected to reveal full delivery details and Full Self-Driving (FSD) update progress, alongside the delayed Robotaxi event in October, potentially influencing price trajectory toward March 27.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Mar 27, 2026
370ドル
62%
$380
28%
$390
2%
400ドル
2%
$410
2%
$765 Vol.
370ドル
$149 Vol.
62%
$380
$155 Vol.
28%
$390
$385 Vol.
2%
400ドル
$5 Vol.
2%
$410
$72 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares have declined over 40% from their December peak, trading around $170 amid weakening EV demand and Q1 2024 deliveries that fell 9% year-over-year to 386,810 units, missing consensus estimates. Aggressive price cuts have compressed gross margins to an estimated 16-17%, raising concerns over profitability as competition intensifies from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied trader sentiment reflects caution on near-term revenue growth, with high short interest at 3% of float. Key catalysts include April 23 Q1 earnings, expected to reveal full delivery details and Full Self-Driving (FSD) update progress, alongside the delayed Robotaxi event in October, potentially influencing price trajectory toward March 27.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
音量
$765終了日
Mar 27, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares have declined over 40% from their December peak, trading around $170 amid weakening EV demand and Q1 2024 deliveries that fell 9% year-over-year to 386,810 units, missing consensus estimates. Aggressive price cuts have compressed gross margins to an estimated 16-17%, raising concerns over profitability as competition intensifies from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied trader sentiment reflects caution on near-term revenue growth, with high short interest at 3% of float. Key catalysts include April 23 Q1 earnings, expected to reveal full delivery details and Full Self-Driving (FSD) update progress, alongside the delayed Robotaxi event in October, potentially influencing price trajectory toward March 27.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$765終了日
Mar 27, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla (TSLA) shares have declined over 40% from their December peak, trading around $170 amid weakening EV demand and Q1 2024 deliveries that fell 9% year-over-year to 386,810 units, missing consensus estimates. Aggressive price cuts have compressed gross margins to an estimated 16-17%, raising concerns over profitability as competition intensifies from BYD and legacy automakers. Market-implied trader sentiment reflects caution on near-term revenue growth, with high short interest at 3% of float. Key catalysts include April 23 Q1 earnings, expected to reveal full delivery details and Full Self-Driving (FSD) update progress, alongside the delayed Robotaxi event in October, potentially influencing price trajectory toward March 27.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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