Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 above key thresholds, with implied probabilities reflecting a 55-65% consensus for upside, anchored by the stock's current trading around $260 amid post-election volatility. Primary drivers include Elon Musk's political influence boosting retail enthusiasm and potential regulatory tailwinds under a Trump administration, offsetting softening China EV demand and Q4 delivery misses reported at 495,570 vehicles. Macro headwinds from persistent Fed rate uncertainty—next FOMC March 18-19—could pressure growth stocks, but TSLA's 50% YTD gains and Cybertruck ramp signal resilience. Watch Friday's close above $265 for bullish confirmation, with options gamma adding intraday swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$350
100%
$355
100%
$360
100%
$365
100%
$370
100%
$375
100%
380ドル
100%
$385
100%
$390
100%
$395
100%
$400
98%
$405
100%
$410
100%
$0.00 Vol.
$350
100%
$355
100%
$360
100%
$365
100%
$370
100%
$375
100%
380ドル
100%
$385
100%
$390
100%
$395
100%
$400
98%
$405
100%
$410
100%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 above key thresholds, with implied probabilities reflecting a 55-65% consensus for upside, anchored by the stock's current trading around $260 amid post-election volatility. Primary drivers include Elon Musk's political influence boosting retail enthusiasm and potential regulatory tailwinds under a Trump administration, offsetting softening China EV demand and Q4 delivery misses reported at 495,570 vehicles. Macro headwinds from persistent Fed rate uncertainty—next FOMC March 18-19—could pressure growth stocks, but TSLA's 50% YTD gains and Cybertruck ramp signal resilience. Watch Friday's close above $265 for bullish confirmation, with options gamma adding intraday swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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