Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Apple's weekly close around March 23 remains razor-thin, with market-implied probabilities deadlocked at 49.5% for both the $225-$230 and $250-$255 bins amid broader tech sector volatility. The primary driver is conflicting pressures: persistent China iPhone sales weakness and antitrust scrutiny weighing on near-term downside risk, countered by optimism over AI integrations in iOS 18 and robust services growth bolstering buyback support. Shares hover near $228 after a 5% weekly dip tied to rising Treasury yields ahead of the March 19 FOMC, but trader consensus eyes a pivotal CPI release on March 12—any cooler-than-expected inflation could spark a rally past $250, while hotter data reinforces sub-$230 consolidation. Historical post-Fed tech bounces favor upside if rate cut odds firm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$225未満 99%
$225〜$230 99%
$230~$235 99%
$235〜$240 99%
$225未満
99%
$225〜$230
99%
$230~$235
99%
$235〜$240
99%
$240~$245
99%
$245〜$250
99%
$250~$255
99%
$255~$260
99%
$260-$265
99%
$265〜$270
99%
$270超
99%
$225未満 99%
$225〜$230 99%
$230~$235 99%
$235〜$240 99%
$225未満
99%
$225〜$230
99%
$230~$235
99%
$235〜$240
99%
$240~$245
99%
$245〜$250
99%
$250~$255
99%
$255~$260
99%
$260-$265
99%
$265〜$270
99%
$270超
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Apple's weekly close around March 23 remains razor-thin, with market-implied probabilities deadlocked at 49.5% for both the $225-$230 and $250-$255 bins amid broader tech sector volatility. The primary driver is conflicting pressures: persistent China iPhone sales weakness and antitrust scrutiny weighing on near-term downside risk, countered by optimism over AI integrations in iOS 18 and robust services growth bolstering buyback support. Shares hover near $228 after a 5% weekly dip tied to rising Treasury yields ahead of the March 19 FOMC, but trader consensus eyes a pivotal CPI release on March 12—any cooler-than-expected inflation could spark a rally past $250, while hotter data reinforces sub-$230 consolidation. Historical post-Fed tech bounces favor upside if rate cut odds firm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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