Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 12% implied probability for Opendoor (OPEN) closing above $3 by March 28, reflecting the stock's current level around $2.15—requiring a 40% rally in under a week amid thin liquidity and high volatility. This skepticism stems from OPEN's heavy exposure to a sluggish housing market, with 30-year mortgage rates hovering near 7% curbing iBuyer transactions; Q4 earnings beat revenue estimates at $1.15 billion but narrowed losses failed to ignite sustained momentum, leaving shares down 45% year-to-date. Key watch: Thursday's existing home sales data could sway sentiment, though historical precedents show such moves rarely bridge wide gaps without catalysts like short squeezes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.00ドル
90%
$2.50
60%
$3.00
90%
$3.50
50%
$4.00
72%
$4.50
50%
5.00ドル
44%
$5.50
50%
$6.00
26%
$6.50
50%
$7.00
11%
$7.50
50%
$8.00
11%
$0.00 Vol.
2.00ドル
90%
$2.50
60%
$3.00
90%
$3.50
50%
$4.00
72%
$4.50
50%
5.00ドル
44%
$5.50
50%
$6.00
26%
$6.50
50%
$7.00
11%
$7.50
50%
$8.00
11%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 12% implied probability for Opendoor (OPEN) closing above $3 by March 28, reflecting the stock's current level around $2.15—requiring a 40% rally in under a week amid thin liquidity and high volatility. This skepticism stems from OPEN's heavy exposure to a sluggish housing market, with 30-year mortgage rates hovering near 7% curbing iBuyer transactions; Q4 earnings beat revenue estimates at $1.15 billion but narrowed losses failed to ignite sustained momentum, leaving shares down 45% year-to-date. Key watch: Thursday's existing home sales data could sway sentiment, though historical precedents show such moves rarely bridge wide gaps without catalysts like short squeezes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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