Traders price "Up" at 62% for UK government approval in the latest YouGov tracker, which recorded 16% approval among all adults as of March 30 amid ongoing low sentiment under Keir Starmer's Labour administration. This consensus reflects a lull in negative headlines over the past week—no fresh scandals, leadership crises, or policy missteps—following stable March favourability ratings (Starmer net -48%) and Reform UK's commanding 23% voting intention lead in the March 29-30 YouGov poll. An Ipsos survey from March 20-24 found Britons still prefer a Starmer-led government over a Nigel Farage-led Reform alternative when forced to choose, potentially stabilizing trader expectations for a modest approve percentage rebound above 16% in the next update expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price "Up" at 62% for UK government approval in the latest YouGov tracker, which recorded 16% approval among all adults as of March 30 amid ongoing low sentiment under Keir Starmer's Labour administration. This consensus reflects a lull in negative headlines over the past week—no fresh scandals, leadership crises, or policy missteps—following stable March favourability ratings (Starmer net -48%) and Reform UK's commanding 23% voting intention lead in the March 29-30 YouGov poll. An Ipsos survey from March 20-24 found Britons still prefer a Starmer-led government over a Nigel Farage-led Reform alternative when forced to choose, potentially stabilizing trader expectations for a modest approve percentage rebound above 16% in the next update expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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