The tightly bunched probabilities around 49-50% for 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, G2 Esports, and related outcomes reflect the deep parity among Americas squads heading into the Shanghai group stage. All four qualified via strong VCT Americas Stage 2 results or points, yet each draws a brutal opening slate against top Pacific, EMEA, and China sides in a double-elimination format that punishes early map losses. Recent roster stability and map-pool depth keep any single team from standing out as the clear weakest link, while historical international volatility and the absence of intra-region matchups amplify the chance that one falls first in the initial best-of-threes. Trader consensus captures this balanced risk across the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日100 Thieves 50%
LOUD 50%
G2 Esports 50%
NRG 49%

100 Thieves
50%

LOUD
50%

G2 Esports
50%

NRG
49%
100 Thieves 50%
LOUD 50%
G2 Esports 50%
NRG 49%

100 Thieves
50%

LOUD
50%

G2 Esports
50%

NRG
49%
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026).
The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
The tightly bunched probabilities around 49-50% for 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, G2 Esports, and related outcomes reflect the deep parity among Americas squads heading into the Shanghai group stage. All four qualified via strong VCT Americas Stage 2 results or points, yet each draws a brutal opening slate against top Pacific, EMEA, and China sides in a double-elimination format that punishes early map losses. Recent roster stability and map-pool depth keep any single team from standing out as the clear weakest link, while historical international volatility and the absence of intra-region matchups amplify the chance that one falls first in the initial best-of-threes. Trader consensus captures this balanced risk across the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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