The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam's retirement has produced a fragmented contest for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoralty, with nominations closing on September 21 ahead of the October 27 vote. Sitting councillors Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts and Michael Johnstone bring established local government records and name recognition, while Chloe Foster has emerged as a prominent new entrant focused on family services, economic growth and community infrastructure. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with no single candidate securing a decisive lead amid overlapping appeals to ratepayers concerned about recent budgets, rate adjustments and capital projects. Additional candidates could further split preferences, and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals to date has kept implied probabilities closely contested across the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日クロエ・フォスター 42.4%
リアン・ロー 20%
ディロン・ロバーツ 19%
マイケル・ジョンストン 18%
$16,241 Vol.
$16,241 Vol.
2026/10/27
クロエ・フォスター
42%
リアン・ロー
20%
ディロン・ロバーツ
19%
マイケル・ジョンストン
18%
メアリー・ダニアム
8%
ケビン・ハイランド
1%
クロエ・フォスター 42.4%
リアン・ロー 20%
ディロン・ロバーツ 19%
マイケル・ジョンストン 18%
$16,241 Vol.
$16,241 Vol.
2026/10/27
クロエ・フォスター
$3,768 Vol.
42%
リアン・ロー
$5,506 Vol.
20%
ディロン・ロバーツ
$2,355 Vol.
19%
マイケル・ジョンストン
$2,547 Vol.
18%
メアリー・ダニアム
$1,002 Vol.
8%
ケビン・ハイランド
$1,064 Vol.
1%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam's retirement has produced a fragmented contest for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoralty, with nominations closing on September 21 ahead of the October 27 vote. Sitting councillors Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts and Michael Johnstone bring established local government records and name recognition, while Chloe Foster has emerged as a prominent new entrant focused on family services, economic growth and community infrastructure. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with no single candidate securing a decisive lead amid overlapping appeals to ratepayers concerned about recent budgets, rate adjustments and capital projects. Additional candidates could further split preferences, and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals to date has kept implied probabilities closely contested across the field.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
音量
$16,241終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam's retirement has produced a fragmented contest for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoralty, with nominations closing on September 21 ahead of the October 27 vote. Sitting councillors Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts and Michael Johnstone bring established local government records and name recognition, while Chloe Foster has emerged as a prominent new entrant focused on family services, economic growth and community infrastructure. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with no single candidate securing a decisive lead amid overlapping appeals to ratepayers concerned about recent budgets, rate adjustments and capital projects. Additional candidates could further split preferences, and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals to date has kept implied probabilities closely contested across the field.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$16,241終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETThe open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam's retirement has produced a fragmented contest for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoralty, with nominations closing on September 21 ahead of the October 27 vote. Sitting councillors Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts and Michael Johnstone bring established local government records and name recognition, while Chloe Foster has emerged as a prominent new entrant focused on family services, economic growth and community infrastructure. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with no single candidate securing a decisive lead amid overlapping appeals to ratepayers concerned about recent budgets, rate adjustments and capital projects. Additional candidates could further split preferences, and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals to date has kept implied probabilities closely contested across the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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