The Launceston mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of nominations opening on September 7, with incumbent Matthew Garwood holding a modest edge in trader pricing over a broad field that includes sitting councillor Tim Walker, real estate agent Kyle Barrett, and others. Garwood benefits from name recognition and incumbency in the preferential voting system, yet recent council turbulence—including budget disputes, resignations, and public controversies—has kept sentiment balanced. Multiple independents are expected to nominate before the September 21 close, with compulsory postal voting scheduled for October 27. This open field and preference flows limit any single candidate's separation until the ballot is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マシュー・ガーウッド 54%
ポール・マレット 28%
ローズ・ダイヤモンド 20%
カイル・バレット 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
マシュー・ガーウッド
54%
ポール・マレット
28%
ローズ・ダイヤモンド
20%
カイル・バレット
18%
ティム・ウォーカー
9%
マシュー・ガーウッド 54%
ポール・マレット 28%
ローズ・ダイヤモンド 20%
カイル・バレット 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
マシュー・ガーウッド
$0 Vol.
54%
ポール・マレット
$0 Vol.
28%
ローズ・ダイヤモンド
$0 Vol.
20%
カイル・バレット
$0 Vol.
18%
ティム・ウォーカー
$0 Vol.
9%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Launceston mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of nominations opening on September 7, with incumbent Matthew Garwood holding a modest edge in trader pricing over a broad field that includes sitting councillor Tim Walker, real estate agent Kyle Barrett, and others. Garwood benefits from name recognition and incumbency in the preferential voting system, yet recent council turbulence—including budget disputes, resignations, and public controversies—has kept sentiment balanced. Multiple independents are expected to nominate before the September 21 close, with compulsory postal voting scheduled for October 27. This open field and preference flows limit any single candidate's separation until the ballot is finalized.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Launceston mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of nominations opening on September 7, with incumbent Matthew Garwood holding a modest edge in trader pricing over a broad field that includes sitting councillor Tim Walker, real estate agent Kyle Barrett, and others. Garwood benefits from name recognition and incumbency in the preferential voting system, yet recent council turbulence—including budget disputes, resignations, and public controversies—has kept sentiment balanced. Multiple independents are expected to nominate before the September 21 close, with compulsory postal voting scheduled for October 27. This open field and preference flows limit any single candidate's separation until the ballot is finalized.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ETThe Launceston mayoral race stays tightly contested ahead of nominations opening on September 7, with incumbent Matthew Garwood holding a modest edge in trader pricing over a broad field that includes sitting councillor Tim Walker, real estate agent Kyle Barrett, and others. Garwood benefits from name recognition and incumbency in the preferential voting system, yet recent council turbulence—including budget disputes, resignations, and public controversies—has kept sentiment balanced. Multiple independents are expected to nominate before the September 21 close, with compulsory postal voting scheduled for October 27. This open field and preference flows limit any single candidate's separation until the ballot is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問