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icon for フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

icon for フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

アビー・マッキベン 36%

ポール・ギブソン 29%

マーク・ジェソップ 22%

サリー・ドイル 1.7%

Polymarket

$24,501 Vol.

アビー・マッキベン 36%

ポール・ギブソン 29%

マーク・ジェソップ 22%

サリー・ドイル 1.7%

Polymarket

$24,501 Vol.

icon for アビー・マッキベン

アビー・マッキベン

$2,048 Vol.

36%

icon for ポール・ギブソン

ポール・ギブソン

$4,882 Vol.

29%

icon for マーク・ジェソップ

マーク・ジェソップ

$377 Vol.

22%

icon for サリー・ドイル

サリー・ドイル

$14,932 Vol.

2%

icon for トビー・ソープ

トビー・ソープ

$1,591 Vol.

1%

icon for マーシャル・キャラハン

マーシャル・キャラハン

$671 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race features four confirmed candidates after nominations closed on September 21, creating a fragmented field without an established frontrunner ahead of the October 27 postal ballot. Trader pricing shows the top contenders clustered in a narrow range, reflecting uncertainty over local voter priorities on planning, services, and council governance following the incumbent's decision not to seek re-election. With compulsory voting and preferential counting, small shifts in preference flows among the broader councillor candidates could alter outcomes, while the absence of recent polling leaves room for late campaign momentum or turnout variations to separate the field before results are declared.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$24,501
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race features four confirmed candidates after nominations closed on September 21, creating a fragmented field without an established frontrunner ahead of the October 27 postal ballot. Trader pricing shows the top contenders clustered in a narrow range, reflecting uncertainty over local voter priorities on planning, services, and council governance following the incumbent's decision not to seek re-election. With compulsory voting and preferential counting, small shifts in preference flows among the broader councillor candidates could alter outcomes, while the absence of recent polling leaves room for late campaign momentum or turnout variations to separate the field before results are declared.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$24,501
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アビー・マッキベン」で36%、次いで「ポール・ギブソン」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」は$24.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アビー・マッキベン」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ポール・ギブソン」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。