President Trump's recent barrage of Truth Social posts issuing profane threats against Iran over its Strait of Hormuz closure—demanding it reopen within 48 hours or face strikes on power plants and bridges—has heightened trader consensus on signature phrases like "Make America Great Again" at 86%, "Sleepy Joe" at 80%, and "Barack Hussein Obama" at 81%, reflecting his pattern of invoking domestic critics amid foreign policy escalations. Collapsed direct US-Iran talks in Pakistan on April 12, with no nuclear commitments from Tehran and JD Vance deeming it "bad news" for Iran, alongside US military efforts to clear Hormuz mines, sustain elevated odds on "Hezbollah" (61%) and "see what happens" (88%). An April 1 national address, April 6 press conference, and April 10 Oval Office remarks underscore his active communication, though no public events are scheduled for April 13-19, leaving room for ad-hoc statements or posts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,936 Vol.
Make America Great Again
78%
Transgender
69%
Epic Fury
78%
Sleepy Joe
75%
Ass
31%
Sucker / Loser
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
64%
Hezbollah
53%
Christmas
31%
Boy oh boy
32%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
19%
AOC
33%
Losing MAGA
26%
All over the place
59%
Jesus
46%
Two week / two-week
66%
Gulf of America
26%
See what happens
64%
Six Seven
24%
Peanut
28%
Central Casting
33%
Regarded
25%
Crypto / Bitcoin
36%
No No No
67%
Gay for Palestine
12%
Nuke
27%
Melania
45%
Four to Six
33%
$14,936 Vol.
Make America Great Again
78%
Transgender
69%
Epic Fury
78%
Sleepy Joe
75%
Ass
31%
Sucker / Loser
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
64%
Hezbollah
53%
Christmas
31%
Boy oh boy
32%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
19%
AOC
33%
Losing MAGA
26%
All over the place
59%
Jesus
46%
Two week / two-week
66%
Gulf of America
26%
See what happens
64%
Six Seven
24%
Peanut
28%
Central Casting
33%
Regarded
25%
Crypto / Bitcoin
36%
No No No
67%
Gay for Palestine
12%
Nuke
27%
Melania
45%
Four to Six
33%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent barrage of Truth Social posts issuing profane threats against Iran over its Strait of Hormuz closure—demanding it reopen within 48 hours or face strikes on power plants and bridges—has heightened trader consensus on signature phrases like "Make America Great Again" at 86%, "Sleepy Joe" at 80%, and "Barack Hussein Obama" at 81%, reflecting his pattern of invoking domestic critics amid foreign policy escalations. Collapsed direct US-Iran talks in Pakistan on April 12, with no nuclear commitments from Tehran and JD Vance deeming it "bad news" for Iran, alongside US military efforts to clear Hormuz mines, sustain elevated odds on "Hezbollah" (61%) and "see what happens" (88%). An April 1 national address, April 6 press conference, and April 10 Oval Office remarks underscore his active communication, though no public events are scheduled for April 13-19, leaving room for ad-hoc statements or posts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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