Recent declines in WTI crude below $82 per barrel and Brent near $87 have eased input costs for gasoline, supporting expectations that the national average retail price could dip below $4 per gallon by early September amid seasonal demand shifts and early transitions to winter-blend formulations. Low U.S. gasoline inventories—down 7% from five-year averages—have kept crack spreads elevated despite robust domestic production, while geopolitical supply risks from the Middle East and refinery outages continue to influence trader positioning. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging around $3.80 per gallon, with Henry Hub natural gas futures remaining below $3 per MMBtu through September on record storage levels. Key near-term catalysts include Labor Day travel demand and any further oil-price volatility ahead of the September 9 EIA update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
↑ $4.50
39%
↑ $4.40
47%
↑ $4.30
49%
↑ $4.20
53%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
39%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
39%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
53%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent declines in WTI crude below $82 per barrel and Brent near $87 have eased input costs for gasoline, supporting expectations that the national average retail price could dip below $4 per gallon by early September amid seasonal demand shifts and early transitions to winter-blend formulations. Low U.S. gasoline inventories—down 7% from five-year averages—have kept crack spreads elevated despite robust domestic production, while geopolitical supply risks from the Middle East and refinery outages continue to influence trader positioning. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging around $3.80 per gallon, with Henry Hub natural gas futures remaining below $3 per MMBtu through September on record storage levels. Key near-term catalysts include Labor Day travel demand and any further oil-price volatility ahead of the September 9 EIA update.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent declines in WTI crude below $82 per barrel and Brent near $87 have eased input costs for gasoline, supporting expectations that the national average retail price could dip below $4 per gallon by early September amid seasonal demand shifts and early transitions to winter-blend formulations. Low U.S. gasoline inventories—down 7% from five-year averages—have kept crack spreads elevated despite robust domestic production, while geopolitical supply risks from the Middle East and refinery outages continue to influence trader positioning. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging around $3.80 per gallon, with Henry Hub natural gas futures remaining below $3 per MMBtu through September on record storage levels. Key near-term catalysts include Labor Day travel demand and any further oil-price volatility ahead of the September 9 EIA update.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent declines in WTI crude below $82 per barrel and Brent near $87 have eased input costs for gasoline, supporting expectations that the national average retail price could dip below $4 per gallon by early September amid seasonal demand shifts and early transitions to winter-blend formulations. Low U.S. gasoline inventories—down 7% from five-year averages—have kept crack spreads elevated despite robust domestic production, while geopolitical supply risks from the Middle East and refinery outages continue to influence trader positioning. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging around $3.80 per gallon, with Henry Hub natural gas futures remaining below $3 per MMBtu through September on record storage levels. Key near-term catalysts include Labor Day travel demand and any further oil-price volatility ahead of the September 9 EIA update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問