Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent announcement of his carefully managed transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Decades of professional oversight at accredited facilities, combined with the 2003 escape occurring under entirely different conditions, reinforce expectations of secure handling during the move and initial adjustment period. Zookeepers have emphasized extensive planning and species-appropriate protocols that minimize risks. A realistic challenge could arise from unforeseen transport complications or stress-related behavior in the new enclosure, though such outcomes remain statistically rare given industry standards and the extended timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか？
リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか？
はい
新規
新規
2026/07/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/07/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent announcement of his carefully managed transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Decades of professional oversight at accredited facilities, combined with the 2003 escape occurring under entirely different conditions, reinforce expectations of secure handling during the move and initial adjustment period. Zookeepers have emphasized extensive planning and species-appropriate protocols that minimize risks. A realistic challenge could arise from unforeseen transport complications or stress-related behavior in the new enclosure, though such outcomes remain statistically rare given industry standards and the extended timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$1,180終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent announcement of his carefully managed transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Decades of professional oversight at accredited facilities, combined with the 2003 escape occurring under entirely different conditions, reinforce expectations of secure handling during the move and initial adjustment period. Zookeepers have emphasized extensive planning and species-appropriate protocols that minimize risks. A realistic challenge could arise from unforeseen transport complications or stress-related behavior in the new enclosure, though such outcomes remain statistically rare given industry standards and the extended timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
音量
$1,180終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability for Little Joe the gorilla escaping again before July 31, 2026, driven by the recent announcement of his carefully managed transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Decades of professional oversight at accredited facilities, combined with the 2003 escape occurring under entirely different conditions, reinforce expectations of secure handling during the move and initial adjustment period. Zookeepers have emphasized extensive planning and species-appropriate protocols that minimize risks. A realistic challenge could arise from unforeseen transport complications or stress-related behavior in the new enclosure, though such outcomes remain statistically rare given industry standards and the extended timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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