The expanded 2026 World Cup field features a record 9-10 CAF qualifiers of comparable overall strength, producing tightly bunched implied probabilities for the worst-placed side. Recent qualification results showed consistent group dominance by teams such as Egypt, Senegal, and Cape Verde without establishing a clear hierarchy, while Morocco's superior FIFA ranking and deeper squad depth leave it with the lowest probability of finishing last. No standout form or injury developments have shifted the consensus in the lead-up to the June group stage, leaving traders pricing the outcome as highly competitive among Algeria, Congo DR, Tunisia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, and South Africa due to similar expected group-stage challenges and historical variability in African performances at major tournaments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Congo DR 49%
Algeria 47%
Ghana 47%
Senegal 47%
Algeria
47%
Cape Verde
44%
Congo DR
49%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
47%
Ivory Coast
43%
Morocco
38%
Senegal
47%
South Africa
44%
Tunisia
40%
Congo DR 49%
Algeria 47%
Ghana 47%
Senegal 47%
Algeria
47%
Cape Verde
44%
Congo DR
49%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
47%
Ivory Coast
43%
Morocco
38%
Senegal
47%
South Africa
44%
Tunisia
40%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The expanded 2026 World Cup field features a record 9-10 CAF qualifiers of comparable overall strength, producing tightly bunched implied probabilities for the worst-placed side. Recent qualification results showed consistent group dominance by teams such as Egypt, Senegal, and Cape Verde without establishing a clear hierarchy, while Morocco's superior FIFA ranking and deeper squad depth leave it with the lowest probability of finishing last. No standout form or injury developments have shifted the consensus in the lead-up to the June group stage, leaving traders pricing the outcome as highly competitive among Algeria, Congo DR, Tunisia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, and South Africa due to similar expected group-stage challenges and historical variability in African performances at major tournaments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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