Trader consensus prices a 63% draw probability for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Wei Yi in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 11, reflecting the solid defenses and risk aversion typical in classical chess among grandmasters tied at 4.5/10 points midway through the event. Nakamura, with white and a 2810 rating edge over Yi's 2754, holds a 25.5% win implied probability due to his superior Candidates experience, recent draw streak including Round 10 vs. Anish Giri, and a fumbled winning chance in their Round 4 draw as Black. Yi's 9% trails amid his parallel form—Round 10 draw vs. Fabiano Caruana after an early loss streak—positioning Nakamura as the modest favorite while both trail leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a 63% draw probability for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Wei Yi in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 11, reflecting the solid defenses and risk aversion typical in classical chess among grandmasters tied at 4.5/10 points midway through the event. Nakamura, with white and a 2810 rating edge over Yi's 2754, holds a 25.5% win implied probability due to his superior Candidates experience, recent draw streak including Round 10 vs. Anish Giri, and a fumbled winning chance in their Round 4 draw as Black. Yi's 9% trails amid his parallel form—Round 10 draw vs. Fabiano Caruana after an early loss streak—positioning Nakamura as the modest favorite while both trail leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/10.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$1,273終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a 63% draw probability for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Wei Yi in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 11, reflecting the solid defenses and risk aversion typical in classical chess among grandmasters tied at 4.5/10 points midway through the event. Nakamura, with white and a 2810 rating edge over Yi's 2754, holds a 25.5% win implied probability due to his superior Candidates experience, recent draw streak including Round 10 vs. Anish Giri, and a fumbled winning chance in their Round 4 draw as Black. Yi's 9% trails amid his parallel form—Round 10 draw vs. Fabiano Caruana after an early loss streak—positioning Nakamura as the modest favorite while both trail leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/10.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$1,273終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a 63% draw probability for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Wei Yi in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 11, reflecting the solid defenses and risk aversion typical in classical chess among grandmasters tied at 4.5/10 points midway through the event. Nakamura, with white and a 2810 rating edge over Yi's 2754, holds a 25.5% win implied probability due to his superior Candidates experience, recent draw streak including Round 10 vs. Anish Giri, and a fumbled winning chance in their Round 4 draw as Black. Yi's 9% trails amid his parallel form—Round 10 draw vs. Fabiano Caruana after an early loss streak—positioning Nakamura as the modest favorite while both trail leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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