Trader consensus prices a 67.5% implied probability on a draw in Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, driven by Matthias Bluebaum's exceptional drawing streak—seven draws in eight games, including against leader Javokhir Sindarov in Round 9 and Andrey Esipenko in Round 10—coupled with their prior Round 4 draw where Bluebaum held firm with White. R Praggnanandhaa, rated 43 Elo points higher at 2741, carries a 21% win probability as White despite slipping after a Round 10 loss to Sindarov, who leads with 8/10; Pragg's two wins amid three losses reflect inconsistency against the field. Bluebaum's 9.5% reflects his solid defense in this double round-robin, where elite classical matchups often end peacefully amid high stakes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a 67.5% implied probability on a draw in Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, driven by Matthias Bluebaum's exceptional drawing streak—seven draws in eight games, including against leader Javokhir Sindarov in Round 9 and Andrey Esipenko in Round 10—coupled with their prior Round 4 draw where Bluebaum held firm with White. R Praggnanandhaa, rated 43 Elo points higher at 2741, carries a 21% win probability as White despite slipping after a Round 10 loss to Sindarov, who leads with 8/10; Pragg's two wins amid three losses reflect inconsistency against the field. Bluebaum's 9.5% reflects his solid defense in this double round-robin, where elite classical matchups often end peacefully amid high stakes.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$484終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a 67.5% implied probability on a draw in Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, driven by Matthias Bluebaum's exceptional drawing streak—seven draws in eight games, including against leader Javokhir Sindarov in Round 9 and Andrey Esipenko in Round 10—coupled with their prior Round 4 draw where Bluebaum held firm with White. R Praggnanandhaa, rated 43 Elo points higher at 2741, carries a 21% win probability as White despite slipping after a Round 10 loss to Sindarov, who leads with 8/10; Pragg's two wins amid three losses reflect inconsistency against the field. Bluebaum's 9.5% reflects his solid defense in this double round-robin, where elite classical matchups often end peacefully amid high stakes.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$484終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a 67.5% implied probability on a draw in Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, driven by Matthias Bluebaum's exceptional drawing streak—seven draws in eight games, including against leader Javokhir Sindarov in Round 9 and Andrey Esipenko in Round 10—coupled with their prior Round 4 draw where Bluebaum held firm with White. R Praggnanandhaa, rated 43 Elo points higher at 2741, carries a 21% win probability as White despite slipping after a Round 10 loss to Sindarov, who leads with 8/10; Pragg's two wins amid three losses reflect inconsistency against the field. Bluebaum's 9.5% reflects his solid defense in this double round-robin, where elite classical matchups often end peacefully amid high stakes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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