Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target rate at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after March consumer price inflation accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—the highest in 19 months—and core inflation rose to 4.45%, exceeding the 3% target midpoint. This fresh data, released around April 9, has tempered easing expectations following Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 in a divided 3-2 vote, with the governor signaling the cycle is nearing completion. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid weak growth signals, while hikes at 0.6% remain negligible; upcoming April CPI and economic data will be pivotal ahead of the early May decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 81%
Decrease 16%
Increase <1%
$50,783 거래량
$50,783 거래량
2026.05.07
Decrease
16%
No change
81%
Increase
1%
No change 81%
Decrease 16%
Increase <1%
$50,783 거래량
$50,783 거래량
2026.05.07
Decrease
$16,460 거래량
16%
No change
$14,886 거래량
81%
Increase
$19,437 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target rate at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after March consumer price inflation accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—the highest in 19 months—and core inflation rose to 4.45%, exceeding the 3% target midpoint. This fresh data, released around April 9, has tempered easing expectations following Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 in a divided 3-2 vote, with the governor signaling the cycle is nearing completion. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid weak growth signals, while hikes at 0.6% remain negligible; upcoming April CPI and economic data will be pivotal ahead of the early May decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
거래량
$50,783종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target rate at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after March consumer price inflation accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—the highest in 19 months—and core inflation rose to 4.45%, exceeding the 3% target midpoint. This fresh data, released around April 9, has tempered easing expectations following Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 in a divided 3-2 vote, with the governor signaling the cycle is nearing completion. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid weak growth signals, while hikes at 0.6% remain negligible; upcoming April CPI and economic data will be pivotal ahead of the early May decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$50,783종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target rate at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after March consumer price inflation accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—the highest in 19 months—and core inflation rose to 4.45%, exceeding the 3% target midpoint. This fresh data, released around April 9, has tempered easing expectations following Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 in a divided 3-2 vote, with the governor signaling the cycle is nearing completion. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid weak growth signals, while hikes at 0.6% remain negligible; upcoming April CPI and economic data will be pivotal ahead of the early May decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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