Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split 3-2 vote and accelerating inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core inflation rising to 4.45%. This easing resumption, despite price pressures exceeding the 3% target, signals the cycle may be nearing its end, as noted by the governor, while resilient GDP growth forecasts around 1.8-2.8% and low 2.7% unemployment support further cuts at 42.5% odds. A hike at 29.5% remains unlikely barring hotter April CPI data ahead of May's policy review.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 59%
Decrease 0
Increase 0
신규
신규
2026.06.25
Decrease
39%
No change
59%
Increase
33%
No change 59%
Decrease 0
Increase 0
신규
신규
2026.06.25
Decrease
$13 거래량
39%
No change
$0 거래량
59%
Increase
$142 거래량
33%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split 3-2 vote and accelerating inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core inflation rising to 4.45%. This easing resumption, despite price pressures exceeding the 3% target, signals the cycle may be nearing its end, as noted by the governor, while resilient GDP growth forecasts around 1.8-2.8% and low 2.7% unemployment support further cuts at 42.5% odds. A hike at 29.5% remains unlikely barring hotter April CPI data ahead of May's policy review.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
거래량
$155종료일
2026.06.25마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split 3-2 vote and accelerating inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core inflation rising to 4.45%. This easing resumption, despite price pressures exceeding the 3% target, signals the cycle may be nearing its end, as noted by the governor, while resilient GDP growth forecasts around 1.8-2.8% and low 2.7% unemployment support further cuts at 42.5% odds. A hike at 29.5% remains unlikely barring hotter April CPI data ahead of May's policy review.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$155종료일
2026.06.25마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the June 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a split 3-2 vote and accelerating inflation to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core inflation rising to 4.45%. This easing resumption, despite price pressures exceeding the 3% target, signals the cycle may be nearing its end, as noted by the governor, while resilient GDP growth forecasts around 1.8-2.8% and low 2.7% unemployment support further cuts at 42.5% odds. A hike at 29.5% remains unlikely barring hotter April CPI data ahead of May's policy review.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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