Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 52% implied probability for no change in the ECB's deposit facility rate at 2.00% for the June 2026 meeting, with a 44% chance of a 25 basis points increase reflecting sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation accelerated to 2.5% from February's 1.9%, reigniting hike bets amid services and energy cost rebounds, though ECB staff projections forecast only 0.9% GDP growth this year, capping aggressive tightening. Policymakers' March 19 hold and recent comments signal data dependence, with April 30 ECB decision and late-April HICP flash as pivotal swing factors that could tip the balance toward higher-for-longer monetary policy or restraint.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 50%
25 bps Increase 44%
50+ bps increase 4.4%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
$13,577 거래량
$13,577 거래량
2026.06.11
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
2%
No change
50%
25 bps Increase
44%
50+ bps increase
4%
No change 50%
25 bps Increase 44%
50+ bps increase 4.4%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
$13,577 거래량
$13,577 거래량
2026.06.11
50+ bps decrease
$2,380 거래량
<1%
25 bps decrease
$2,122 거래량
2%
No change
$2,928 거래량
50%
25 bps Increase
$3,022 거래량
44%
50+ bps increase
$3,125 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 52% implied probability for no change in the ECB's deposit facility rate at 2.00% for the June 2026 meeting, with a 44% chance of a 25 basis points increase reflecting sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation accelerated to 2.5% from February's 1.9%, reigniting hike bets amid services and energy cost rebounds, though ECB staff projections forecast only 0.9% GDP growth this year, capping aggressive tightening. Policymakers' March 19 hold and recent comments signal data dependence, with April 30 ECB decision and late-April HICP flash as pivotal swing factors that could tip the balance toward higher-for-longer monetary policy or restraint.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$13,577종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 52% implied probability for no change in the ECB's deposit facility rate at 2.00% for the June 2026 meeting, with a 44% chance of a 25 basis points increase reflecting sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation accelerated to 2.5% from February's 1.9%, reigniting hike bets amid services and energy cost rebounds, though ECB staff projections forecast only 0.9% GDP growth this year, capping aggressive tightening. Policymakers' March 19 hold and recent comments signal data dependence, with April 30 ECB decision and late-April HICP flash as pivotal swing factors that could tip the balance toward higher-for-longer monetary policy or restraint.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
거래량
$13,577종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 52% implied probability for no change in the ECB's deposit facility rate at 2.00% for the June 2026 meeting, with a 44% chance of a 25 basis points increase reflecting sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation accelerated to 2.5% from February's 1.9%, reigniting hike bets amid services and energy cost rebounds, though ECB staff projections forecast only 0.9% GDP growth this year, capping aggressive tightening. Policymakers' March 19 hold and recent comments signal data dependence, with April 30 ECB decision and late-April HICP flash as pivotal swing factors that could tip the balance toward higher-for-longer monetary policy or restraint.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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