Polymarket traders assign a 66% implied probability to an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's July 2026 decision, driven by the central bank's hawkish April 8 hold at 2.25% amid forecasts of quarterly inflation spiking to 4.2%—up from 2.8%—due to energy price surges from Middle East tensions. Persistent headline pressures, with annual CPI at 3.1% through December 2025 and subdued GDP growth of 0.2% in Q4 alongside 5.4% unemployment, have shifted economist consensus like ANZ's toward a July hike to 3%. No-change odds at 27.5% reflect wait-and-see caution, while cuts at 4.9% signal low demand risks; watch the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement for updated guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Increase 73%
No Change 21%
Decrease 4.9%
신규
신규
2026.07.07
Increase
73%
No Change
21%
Decrease
5%
Increase 73%
No Change 21%
Decrease 4.9%
신규
신규
2026.07.07
Increase
$1,987 거래량
73%
No Change
$23 거래량
21%
Decrease
$187 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 66% implied probability to an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's July 2026 decision, driven by the central bank's hawkish April 8 hold at 2.25% amid forecasts of quarterly inflation spiking to 4.2%—up from 2.8%—due to energy price surges from Middle East tensions. Persistent headline pressures, with annual CPI at 3.1% through December 2025 and subdued GDP growth of 0.2% in Q4 alongside 5.4% unemployment, have shifted economist consensus like ANZ's toward a July hike to 3%. No-change odds at 27.5% reflect wait-and-see caution, while cuts at 4.9% signal low demand risks; watch the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement for updated guidance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
거래량
$2,196종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 66% implied probability to an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's July 2026 decision, driven by the central bank's hawkish April 8 hold at 2.25% amid forecasts of quarterly inflation spiking to 4.2%—up from 2.8%—due to energy price surges from Middle East tensions. Persistent headline pressures, with annual CPI at 3.1% through December 2025 and subdued GDP growth of 0.2% in Q4 alongside 5.4% unemployment, have shifted economist consensus like ANZ's toward a July hike to 3%. No-change odds at 27.5% reflect wait-and-see caution, while cuts at 4.9% signal low demand risks; watch the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement for updated guidance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$2,196종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 66% implied probability to an Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's July 2026 decision, driven by the central bank's hawkish April 8 hold at 2.25% amid forecasts of quarterly inflation spiking to 4.2%—up from 2.8%—due to energy price surges from Middle East tensions. Persistent headline pressures, with annual CPI at 3.1% through December 2025 and subdued GDP growth of 0.2% in Q4 alongside 5.4% unemployment, have shifted economist consensus like ANZ's toward a July hike to 3%. No-change odds at 27.5% reflect wait-and-see caution, while cuts at 4.9% signal low demand risks; watch the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement for updated guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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