Polymarket traders' narrow consensus favors a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate increase (53%) over no change (50.5%) at the June 16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and labor market tightness despite a recent March policy hike to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean core inflation steady at 3.3%—still above the 2-3% target—while today's March employment data showed unemployment holding at 4.3% amid solid job gains, bolstering wage growth risks. The closely matched odds highlight swing factors like the May 5 decision, upcoming March quarterly CPI, and global energy shocks from the Iran conflict; a hawkish May outcome could solidify hike expectations, while softer data might prompt a pause.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인상 54%
변경 없음 47%
인하 4.0%
$18,750 거래량
$18,750 거래량
2026.06.16
인하
4%
변경 없음
47%
인상
54%
인상 54%
변경 없음 47%
인하 4.0%
$18,750 거래량
$18,750 거래량
2026.06.16
인하
$6,043 거래량
4%
변경 없음
$6,255 거래량
47%
인상
$6,452 거래량
54%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders' narrow consensus favors a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate increase (53%) over no change (50.5%) at the June 16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and labor market tightness despite a recent March policy hike to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean core inflation steady at 3.3%—still above the 2-3% target—while today's March employment data showed unemployment holding at 4.3% amid solid job gains, bolstering wage growth risks. The closely matched odds highlight swing factors like the May 5 decision, upcoming March quarterly CPI, and global energy shocks from the Iran conflict; a hawkish May outcome could solidify hike expectations, while softer data might prompt a pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
거래량
$18,750종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders' narrow consensus favors a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate increase (53%) over no change (50.5%) at the June 16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and labor market tightness despite a recent March policy hike to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean core inflation steady at 3.3%—still above the 2-3% target—while today's March employment data showed unemployment holding at 4.3% amid solid job gains, bolstering wage growth risks. The closely matched odds highlight swing factors like the May 5 decision, upcoming March quarterly CPI, and global energy shocks from the Iran conflict; a hawkish May outcome could solidify hike expectations, while softer data might prompt a pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
거래량
$18,750종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' narrow consensus favors a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate increase (53%) over no change (50.5%) at the June 16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures and labor market tightness despite a recent March policy hike to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 3.7% year-over-year, with trimmed mean core inflation steady at 3.3%—still above the 2-3% target—while today's March employment data showed unemployment holding at 4.3% amid solid job gains, bolstering wage growth risks. The closely matched odds highlight swing factors like the May 5 decision, upcoming March quarterly CPI, and global energy shocks from the Iran conflict; a hawkish May outcome could solidify hike expectations, while softer data might prompt a pause.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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