Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided vote. March 2026 consumer prices accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% target—exacerbating inflation pressures from core measures rising to 4.45%, prompting expectations of a pause despite some analysts forecasting further easing. A rate decrease carries 24.5% odds on softening growth signals, while hikes at 0.5% appear negligible given Banxico's dovish guidance and stable end-2026 forecasts around 6.50%. Upcoming April CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 75%
인하 25%
인상 <1%
$53,910 거래량
$53,910 거래량
2026.05.07
인하
25%
변동 없음
75%
인상
1%
변동 없음 75%
인하 25%
인상 <1%
$53,910 거래량
$53,910 거래량
2026.05.07
인하
$18,076 거래량
25%
변동 없음
$15,710 거래량
75%
인상
$20,124 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided vote. March 2026 consumer prices accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% target—exacerbating inflation pressures from core measures rising to 4.45%, prompting expectations of a pause despite some analysts forecasting further easing. A rate decrease carries 24.5% odds on softening growth signals, while hikes at 0.5% appear negligible given Banxico's dovish guidance and stable end-2026 forecasts around 6.50%. Upcoming April CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
거래량
$53,910종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided vote. March 2026 consumer prices accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% target—exacerbating inflation pressures from core measures rising to 4.45%, prompting expectations of a pause despite some analysts forecasting further easing. A rate decrease carries 24.5% odds on softening growth signals, while hikes at 0.5% appear negligible given Banxico's dovish guidance and stable end-2026 forecasts around 6.50%. Upcoming April CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$53,910종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided vote. March 2026 consumer prices accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% target—exacerbating inflation pressures from core measures rising to 4.45%, prompting expectations of a pause despite some analysts forecasting further easing. A rate decrease carries 24.5% odds on softening growth signals, while hikes at 0.5% appear negligible given Banxico's dovish guidance and stable end-2026 forecasts around 6.50%. Upcoming April CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문