Polymarket traders assign a 74% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's May benchmark rate, driven by the central bank's cautious pivot after its surprise 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 vote prioritizing softening economic activity despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March, the highest since August 2024. Governor Victoria Rodriguez's March 30 remarks that the easing cycle nears its end underscore this hawkish tilt, with persistent price pressures above the 3% target curbing aggressive cuts. The 25% odds for a decrease reflect growth risks, while hikes at 0.6% remain off the table. Traders eye April CPI data ahead of the May 7 decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 74%
인하 25%
인상 <1%
$53,952 거래량
$53,952 거래량
2026.05.07
인하
25%
변동 없음
74%
인상
1%
변동 없음 74%
인하 25%
인상 <1%
$53,952 거래량
$53,952 거래량
2026.05.07
인하
$18,105 거래량
25%
변동 없음
$15,723 거래량
74%
인상
$20,124 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 74% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's May benchmark rate, driven by the central bank's cautious pivot after its surprise 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 vote prioritizing softening economic activity despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March, the highest since August 2024. Governor Victoria Rodriguez's March 30 remarks that the easing cycle nears its end underscore this hawkish tilt, with persistent price pressures above the 3% target curbing aggressive cuts. The 25% odds for a decrease reflect growth risks, while hikes at 0.6% remain off the table. Traders eye April CPI data ahead of the May 7 decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
거래량
$53,952종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 74% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's May benchmark rate, driven by the central bank's cautious pivot after its surprise 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 vote prioritizing softening economic activity despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March, the highest since August 2024. Governor Victoria Rodriguez's March 30 remarks that the easing cycle nears its end underscore this hawkish tilt, with persistent price pressures above the 3% target curbing aggressive cuts. The 25% odds for a decrease reflect growth risks, while hikes at 0.6% remain off the table. Traders eye April CPI data ahead of the May 7 decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$53,952종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 74% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's May benchmark rate, driven by the central bank's cautious pivot after its surprise 25 basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 vote prioritizing softening economic activity despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March, the highest since August 2024. Governor Victoria Rodriguez's March 30 remarks that the easing cycle nears its end underscore this hawkish tilt, with persistent price pressures above the 3% target curbing aggressive cuts. The 25% odds for a decrease reflect growth risks, while hikes at 0.6% remain off the table. Traders eye April CPI data ahead of the May 7 decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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