Trader consensus favors "No" at 74% implied probability that the 90% cap on wagering loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act via reconciliation and effective January 1, 2026—will not be fully repealed before 2027, reflecting repeated procedural blocks in the GOP-controlled House. Recent rejection of Rep. Dina Titus's FAIR BET Act by the House Rules Committee around early April 2026, following earlier blocks in January and February, has stalled bipartisan repeal efforts including the FULL HOUSE Act by Reps. Max Miller and Steven Horsford, and a Cruz-Miller Senate companion backed by Americans for Tax Reform in late March. Gaming industry lobbying persists amid "phantom income" complaints, but absent revenue offsets or floor votes amid packed legislative calendars, traders anticipate no change by year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$64,513 거래량
$64,513 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$64,513 거래량
$64,513 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus favors "No" at 74% implied probability that the 90% cap on wagering loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act via reconciliation and effective January 1, 2026—will not be fully repealed before 2027, reflecting repeated procedural blocks in the GOP-controlled House. Recent rejection of Rep. Dina Titus's FAIR BET Act by the House Rules Committee around early April 2026, following earlier blocks in January and February, has stalled bipartisan repeal efforts including the FULL HOUSE Act by Reps. Max Miller and Steven Horsford, and a Cruz-Miller Senate companion backed by Americans for Tax Reform in late March. Gaming industry lobbying persists amid "phantom income" complaints, but absent revenue offsets or floor votes amid packed legislative calendars, traders anticipate no change by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
거래량
$64,513종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus favors "No" at 74% implied probability that the 90% cap on wagering loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act via reconciliation and effective January 1, 2026—will not be fully repealed before 2027, reflecting repeated procedural blocks in the GOP-controlled House. Recent rejection of Rep. Dina Titus's FAIR BET Act by the House Rules Committee around early April 2026, following earlier blocks in January and February, has stalled bipartisan repeal efforts including the FULL HOUSE Act by Reps. Max Miller and Steven Horsford, and a Cruz-Miller Senate companion backed by Americans for Tax Reform in late March. Gaming industry lobbying persists amid "phantom income" complaints, but absent revenue offsets or floor votes amid packed legislative calendars, traders anticipate no change by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$64,513종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 74% implied probability that the 90% cap on wagering loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act via reconciliation and effective January 1, 2026—will not be fully repealed before 2027, reflecting repeated procedural blocks in the GOP-controlled House. Recent rejection of Rep. Dina Titus's FAIR BET Act by the House Rules Committee around early April 2026, following earlier blocks in January and February, has stalled bipartisan repeal efforts including the FULL HOUSE Act by Reps. Max Miller and Steven Horsford, and a Cruz-Miller Senate companion backed by Americans for Tax Reform in late March. Gaming industry lobbying persists amid "phantom income" complaints, but absent revenue offsets or floor votes amid packed legislative calendars, traders anticipate no change by year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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