Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the absence of such a provision in the major "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" passed via budget reconciliation and signed July 4, 2025, which extended 2017 TCJA individual cuts, raised the SALT deduction cap, and boosted standard deductions but preserved existing LTCG brackets of 0%, 15%, and 20%. Despite campaign pledges and Project 2025 proposals for reductions to 15%, fiscal concerns over trillions in added deficits sidelined the change amid GOP debates on revenue. In March 2026, Sens. Cruz and Scott urged Treasury for administrative relief, but no action followed, as statutory cuts require congressional approval with slim majorities, debt ceiling pressures, and 2026 midterms looming. Late-session pushes remain possible but face steep hurdles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the absence of such a provision in the major "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" passed via budget reconciliation and signed July 4, 2025, which extended 2017 TCJA individual cuts, raised the SALT deduction cap, and boosted standard deductions but preserved existing LTCG brackets of 0%, 15%, and 20%. Despite campaign pledges and Project 2025 proposals for reductions to 15%, fiscal concerns over trillions in added deficits sidelined the change amid GOP debates on revenue. In March 2026, Sens. Cruz and Scott urged Treasury for administrative relief, but no action followed, as statutory cuts require congressional approval with slim majorities, debt ceiling pressures, and 2026 midterms looming. Late-session pushes remain possible but face steep hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
거래량
$1,136종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the absence of such a provision in the major "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" passed via budget reconciliation and signed July 4, 2025, which extended 2017 TCJA individual cuts, raised the SALT deduction cap, and boosted standard deductions but preserved existing LTCG brackets of 0%, 15%, and 20%. Despite campaign pledges and Project 2025 proposals for reductions to 15%, fiscal concerns over trillions in added deficits sidelined the change amid GOP debates on revenue. In March 2026, Sens. Cruz and Scott urged Treasury for administrative relief, but no action followed, as statutory cuts require congressional approval with slim majorities, debt ceiling pressures, and 2026 midterms looming. Late-session pushes remain possible but face steep hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$1,136종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% on Trump cutting long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the absence of such a provision in the major "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" passed via budget reconciliation and signed July 4, 2025, which extended 2017 TCJA individual cuts, raised the SALT deduction cap, and boosted standard deductions but preserved existing LTCG brackets of 0%, 15%, and 20%. Despite campaign pledges and Project 2025 proposals for reductions to 15%, fiscal concerns over trillions in added deficits sidelined the change amid GOP debates on revenue. In March 2026, Sens. Cruz and Scott urged Treasury for administrative relief, but no action followed, as statutory cuts require congressional approval with slim majorities, debt ceiling pressures, and 2026 midterms looming. Late-session pushes remain possible but face steep hurdles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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