Trader consensus on Polymarket, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12°C (31.5%) and 13°C (25.5%), reflects the latest numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing Ankara's highest temperature tomorrow likely in the low teens Celsius, below the historical April average high of 17°C. This positioning stems from a persistent cool continental air mass over central Anatolia, reinforced by light northerly winds and variable cloud cover observed in the past 24 hours, which curbs diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential for brief clear skies boosting peaks toward 14°C or higher (21% odds) versus thicker overcast capping at 11°C (20%); the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) final hourly forecast update today and station observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
12°C 31%
13°C 26%
14°C or higher 21%
11°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.19
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
19%
12°C
31%
13°C
26%
14°C or higher
21%
12°C 31%
13°C 26%
14°C or higher 21%
11°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.19
4°C or below
$1,240 거래량
<1%
5°C
$501 거래량
<1%
6°C
$502 거래량
<1%
7°C
$463 거래량
1%
8°C
$784 거래량
1%
9°C
$432 거래량
2%
10°C
$281 거래량
7%
11°C
$495 거래량
19%
12°C
$712 거래량
31%
13°C
$890 거래량
26%
14°C or higher
$1,159 거래량
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12°C (31.5%) and 13°C (25.5%), reflects the latest numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing Ankara's highest temperature tomorrow likely in the low teens Celsius, below the historical April average high of 17°C. This positioning stems from a persistent cool continental air mass over central Anatolia, reinforced by light northerly winds and variable cloud cover observed in the past 24 hours, which curbs diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential for brief clear skies boosting peaks toward 14°C or higher (21% odds) versus thicker overcast capping at 11°C (20%); the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) final hourly forecast update today and station observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$7,460종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12°C (31.5%) and 13°C (25.5%), reflects the latest numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing Ankara's highest temperature tomorrow likely in the low teens Celsius, below the historical April average high of 17°C. This positioning stems from a persistent cool continental air mass over central Anatolia, reinforced by light northerly winds and variable cloud cover observed in the past 24 hours, which curbs diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential for brief clear skies boosting peaks toward 14°C or higher (21% odds) versus thicker overcast capping at 11°C (20%); the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) final hourly forecast update today and station observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$7,460종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12°C (31.5%) and 13°C (25.5%), reflects the latest numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing Ankara's highest temperature tomorrow likely in the low teens Celsius, below the historical April average high of 17°C. This positioning stems from a persistent cool continental air mass over central Anatolia, reinforced by light northerly winds and variable cloud cover observed in the past 24 hours, which curbs diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential for brief clear skies boosting peaks toward 14°C or higher (21% odds) versus thicker overcast capping at 11°C (20%); the Turkish State Meteorological Service's (MGM) final hourly forecast update today and station observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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