Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 1?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 거래량
$80,151 거래량
2026.05.01
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$80,151 거래량
$80,151 거래량
2026.05.01
11°C or below
$1,183 거래량
No
12°C
$1,025 거래량
No
13°C
$1,900 거래량
No
14°C
$17,578 거래량
No
15°C
$19,851 거래량
Yes
16°C
$9,532 거래량
No
17°C
$7,701 거래량
No
18°C
$6,986 거래량
No
19°C
$5,726 거래량
No
20°C
$3,700 거래량
No
21°C or higher
$4,969 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$80,151종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$80,151종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport station, as reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly air flow, well below the early-May climatological average high of 18–20°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Morning readings showed 13.7°C under very cloudy skies, with overnight lows near 9–10°C in surrounding areas, aligning with model consensus for subdued warming under stable atmospheric conditions. This verified data has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C. Rare challenges could arise from post-preliminary quality-control revisions or instrument calibration adjustments, though MGM final reports seldom alter daily maxima significantly.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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