Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
72-73°F 38%
69°F or below 28%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
신규
신규
2026.04.19
69°F or below
28%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
3%
72-73°F 38%
69°F or below 28%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
신규
신규
2026.04.19
69°F or below
$10 거래량
28%
70-71°F
$0 거래량
23%
72-73°F
$3 거래량
23%
74-75°F
$0 거래량
22%
76-77°F
$0 거래량
21%
78-79°F
$10 거래량
18%
80-81°F
$10 거래량
16%
82-83°F
$0 거래량
5%
84-85°F
$0 거래량
2%
86-87°F
$10 거래량
3%
88°F or higher
$145 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$178종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$178종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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