National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on April 23?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 거래량
$108,872 거래량
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$108,872 거래량
$108,872 거래량
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the high temperature reached 85°F by 3:48 p.m. CDT on April 23, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 70°F or higher. This aligns with climatological norms for Austin, where April daily highs average around 80°F, bolstered by southerly winds at 12 mph sustaining warm advection under partly cloudy skies. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome amid stable upper-level ridging. With sunset at 8:03 p.m. and temperatures now cooling from the peak, no realistic scenario—such as an improbable cold frontal passage—could retroactively drop the observed maximum below 70°F, cementing market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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