Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on July 10?
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 22%
27°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
14%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 22%
27°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
14%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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