Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on July 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 9?
28°C 33%
27°C 30%
26°C 20%
25°C 8.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
20%
27°C
30%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
27°C 30%
26°C 20%
25°C 8.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
23°C or below
$98 거래량
<1%
24°C
$138 거래량
1%
25°C
$213 거래량
9%
26°C
$268 거래량
20%
27°C
$605 거래량
30%
28°C
$707 거래량
33%
29°C
$2,085 거래량
7%
30°C
$220 거래량
1%
31°C
$93 거래량
1%
32°C
$108 거래량
<1%
33°C or higher
$430 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$4,964종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,964종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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