Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 16, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, driven by converged forecast models from the National Meteorological Center (NMC) and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime heating capped by persistent cloud cover and light rain. Current observations confirm temperatures hovering 12–20°C amid a cooler northerly airflow following recent 25°C highs, with low solar insolation limiting further warming per standard meteorological physics. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 22°C, or intensified precipitation dropping below 21°C; end-of-day airport station data will resolve this shortly after midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 16일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$128,470 거래량
$128,470 거래량
2026.04.16
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$128,470 거래량
$128,470 거래량
2026.04.16
21°C
$23,582 거래량
100%
22°C
$13,210 거래량
<1%
23°C
$12,304 거래량
<1%
24°C
$18,800 거래량
<1%
25°C
$5,388 거래량
<1%
26°C
$7,525 거래량
<1%
27°C
$4,156 거래량
<1%
28°C 이상
$5,116 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 16, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, driven by converged forecast models from the National Meteorological Center (NMC) and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime heating capped by persistent cloud cover and light rain. Current observations confirm temperatures hovering 12–20°C amid a cooler northerly airflow following recent 25°C highs, with low solar insolation limiting further warming per standard meteorological physics. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 22°C, or intensified precipitation dropping below 21°C; end-of-day airport station data will resolve this shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
거래량
$128,470종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 16, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, driven by converged forecast models from the National Meteorological Center (NMC) and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime heating capped by persistent cloud cover and light rain. Current observations confirm temperatures hovering 12–20°C amid a cooler northerly airflow following recent 25°C highs, with low solar insolation limiting further warming per standard meteorological physics. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 22°C, or intensified precipitation dropping below 21°C; end-of-day airport station data will resolve this shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$128,470종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 16, 2026, at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, driven by converged forecast models from the National Meteorological Center (NMC) and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which project peak daytime heating capped by persistent cloud cover and light rain. Current observations confirm temperatures hovering 12–20°C amid a cooler northerly airflow following recent 25°C highs, with low solar insolation limiting further warming per standard meteorological physics. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to push toward 22°C, or intensified precipitation dropping below 21°C; end-of-day airport station data will resolve this shortly after midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문