Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,705 거래량
$78,705 거래량
2026.05.01
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,705 거래량
$78,705 거래량
2026.05.01
16°C or below
$2,042 거래량
No
17°C
$4,320 거래량
No
18°C
$6,766 거래량
No
19°C
$5,648 거래량
No
20°C
$10,406 거래량
No
21°C
$8,321 거래량
No
22°C
$4,913 거래량
No
23°C
$7,612 거래량
No
24°C
$8,315 거래량
Yes
25°C
$9,784 거래량
No
26°C or higher
$10,578 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$78,705종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$78,705종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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