Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 거래량
$92,789 거래량
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 거래량
$92,789 거래량
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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