Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 4일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 4일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
19°C 100.0%
13°C 이하 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,121 거래량
$43,121 거래량
2026.05.04
13°C 이하
아니오
14°C
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
아니오
18°C
아니오
19°C
예
20°C
아니오
21°C
아니오
22°C
아니오
23°C 이상
아니오
19°C 100.0%
13°C 이하 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,121 거래량
$43,121 거래량
2026.05.04
13°C 이하
$870 거래량
아니오
14°C
$540 거래량
아니오
15°C
$1,169 거래량
아니오
16°C
$7,292 거래량
아니오
17°C
$4,203 거래량
아니오
18°C
$8,677 거래량
아니오
19°C
$7,487 거래량
예
20°C
$5,714 거래량
아니오
21°C
$4,150 거래량
아니오
22°C
$1,734 거래량
아니오
23°C 이상
$1,284 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$43,121종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$43,121종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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