Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 15일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 15일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
30°C or below
7%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
14%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
30°C or below
$456 거래량
7%
31°C
$215 거래량
15%
32°C
$149 거래량
31%
33°C
$311 거래량
35%
34°C
$113 거래량
14%
35°C
$158 거래량
1%
36°C
$136 거래량
1%
37°C
$141 거래량
1%
38°C
$224 거래량
<1%
39°C
$271 거래량
<1%
40°C or higher
$256 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$2,430종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,430종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETParis faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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