Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 거래량
$57,375 거래량
2026.06.14
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 거래량
$57,375 거래량
2026.06.14
31°C or below
$11,609 거래량
No
32°C
$10,884 거래량
No
33°C
$14,595 거래량
Yes
34°C
$5,609 거래량
No
35°C
$3,904 거래량
No
36°C
$4,009 거래량
No
37°C
$2,077 거래량
No
38°C
$2,711 거래량
No
39°C
$652 거래량
No
40°C
$713 거래량
No
41°C or higher
$611 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$57,375종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$57,375종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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