The National Weather Service's official observation at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This below-normal peak—against an April 19 average of 60°F—stemmed from a cool upper-air mass, gusty winds limiting surface heating, and lingering effects of recent frost advisories, overriding pre-event forecast models that clustered around 49-51°F. Verified airport Automated Surface Observing System data confirms the reading, with no significant hourly deviations above 48°F. Resolution could only shift via rare NWS data correction, pending final climatological report.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
48-49°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$121,143 거래량
$121,143 거래량
2026.04.19
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$121,143 거래량
$121,143 거래량
2026.04.19
43°F or below
$12,042 거래량
No
44-45°F
$6,458 거래량
No
46-47°F
$10,324 거래량
No
48-49°F
$28,314 거래량
Yes
50-51°F
$16,898 거래량
No
52-53°F
$16,587 거래량
No
54-55°F
$9,533 거래량
No
56-57°F
$6,240 거래량
No
58-59°F
$3,475 거래량
No
60-61°F
$3,741 거래량
No
62°F or higher
$7,531 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This below-normal peak—against an April 19 average of 60°F—stemmed from a cool upper-air mass, gusty winds limiting surface heating, and lingering effects of recent frost advisories, overriding pre-event forecast models that clustered around 49-51°F. Verified airport Automated Surface Observing System data confirms the reading, with no significant hourly deviations above 48°F. Resolution could only shift via rare NWS data correction, pending final climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$121,143종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This below-normal peak—against an April 19 average of 60°F—stemmed from a cool upper-air mass, gusty winds limiting surface heating, and lingering effects of recent frost advisories, overriding pre-event forecast models that clustered around 49-51°F. Verified airport Automated Surface Observing System data confirms the reading, with no significant hourly deviations above 48°F. Resolution could only shift via rare NWS data correction, pending final climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$121,143종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The National Weather Service's official observation at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This below-normal peak—against an April 19 average of 60°F—stemmed from a cool upper-air mass, gusty winds limiting surface heating, and lingering effects of recent frost advisories, overriding pre-event forecast models that clustered around 49-51°F. Verified airport Automated Surface Observing System data confirms the reading, with no significant hourly deviations above 48°F. Resolution could only shift via rare NWS data correction, pending final climatological report.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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