Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Denver on May 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 6?
38-39°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$83,326 거래량
$83,326 거래량
2026.05.06
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
Yes
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
No
38-39°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$83,326 거래량
$83,326 거래량
2026.05.06
33°F or below
$16,323 거래량
No
34-35°F
$12,947 거래량
No
36-37°F
$7,127 거래량
No
38-39°F
$8,077 거래량
Yes
40-41°F
$8,666 거래량
No
42-43°F
$5,489 거래량
No
44-45°F
$7,793 거래량
No
46-47°F
$4,134 거래량
No
48-49°F
$4,746 거래량
No
50-51°F
$4,467 거래량
No
52°F or higher
$3,558 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
거래량
$83,326종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$83,326종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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