Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on April 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 22?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$129,245 거래량
$129,245 거래량
2026.04.22
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$129,245 거래량
$129,245 거래량
2026.04.22
21°C or below
$9,855 거래량
No
22°C
$10,090 거래량
No
23°C
$29,029 거래량
No
24°C
$22,644 거래량
Yes
25°C
$20,937 거래량
No
26°C
$12,019 거래량
No
27°C
$8,334 거래량
No
28°C
$5,812 거래량
No
29°C
$4,527 거래량
No
30°C
$3,794 거래량
No
31°C or higher
$2,203 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$129,245종료일
2026.04.22마켓 개설일
Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$129,245종료일
2026.04.22마켓 개설일
Apr 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 22 reached exactly 24°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models projecting midday peaks around 23–25°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and typical springtime continental high pressure over Iberia, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Historical April averages at the airport hover near 19°C, making 24°C mildly above baseline without anomalous warmth. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but AEMET validations are typically final within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문