Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 거래량
$149,214 거래량
2026.04.24
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 거래량
$149,214 거래량
2026.04.24
18°C or below
$9,467 거래량
No
19°C
$12,373 거래량
No
20°C
$13,974 거래량
No
21°C
$15,606 거래량
No
22°C
$21,511 거래량
Yes
23°C
$24,517 거래량
No
24°C
$15,281 거래량
No
25°C
$16,843 거래량
No
26°C
$7,784 거래량
No
27°C
$4,013 거래량
No
28°C or higher
$7,847 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
거래량
$149,214종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$149,214종료일
2026.04.24마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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