The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 거래량
$34,971 거래량
2026.06.04
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 거래량
$34,971 거래량
2026.06.04
26°C or below
$203 거래량
No
27°C
$238 거래량
No
28°C
$737 거래량
No
29°C
$1,518 거래량
No
30°C
$4,513 거래량
No
31°C
$2,542 거래량
No
32°C
$4,842 거래량
Yes
33°C
$6,669 거래량
No
34°C
$6,382 거래량
No
35°C
$5,385 거래량
No
36°C or higher
$1,942 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$34,971종료일
2026.06.04마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$34,971종료일
2026.06.04마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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